Q-Forecasting

As you know, over the course of the last years we developed many algorithms, all revolving around forecasting.
This is our mission.
Our customers applied them to forecasting in very different areas, from Supply Chain Forecasting to CRM, from orange juice to the Stock Market.

One of the toughest endeavors is undoubtedly forecasting the Stock Market, one where many of our customers are applying our techniques with varying degrees of success. One of the main issues reported is the implicit complexity of the algorithms, even if we invested a lot to make them as simple as possible. What is the right parameter? What is the right method? What is the right mix and sequence of algorithms to use? How do I apply…?

To answer these and other questions and with the objective of increasing our own wealth, starting in 2006 we decided to build a model of the Stock Market that we called Q-Forecasting.
We have never bought into the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) and Random Walk (RW) theories about the Stock Market. EMH is a big simplification of a human phenomenon and assumes that all participants in the Markets are rational and they are not, that they are efficient and they are not, that they have all and the right information and they have not.
The reality of the Stock Market is that in the very short term (hours to days) it can be random or part of the movements are indeed random, but in the medium or long term (from weeks to years) it is not and cannot be random. Most of the participants are irrational, remember Keynes: "Markets can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent". Psychologically the Market is more similar to a manic-depressive than to a rational thinker.

So we developed a causal mathematical model of the Stock Market and tested it over the course of the years. Of course, this model cannot be a simple mathematical equation, there is no such formula of the Stock Market and never will be. It is a first approximation of the probable trajectory that the Market will follow among the many possible ones.
You can think of it as the weather forecasting, it will not get exactly what happens in the 5th Avenue in New York on October 14, but you will know whether October in New York will probably be mostly raining or not.
We focus on two indexes (S&P500 and DAX) and one exchange rate (EUR/USD), and since pictures are worth a thousand words we provide a three months medium term forecast and a three weeks short term forecast as a set of images for you to view over the web.
Of course, there will also be a commentary on the forecasts and at least weekly, we will update the forecasts. Here you can see some examples of our medium term DAX forecast computed for all 2008 and 2009 on the DAX index, and some examples of our short term S&P500 forecast computed in 2010 on the S&P 500 index from which you can judge for yourself the accuracy of the forecasts.
Could you ever make money knowing in advance where the Markets will probably go?

How does this system work? How do you guys compute the forecasts? Well, we combined several different techniques, ranging from digital signal processing, to artificial intelligence, to our own stochastic differential equations, most of which are published in the IPredict’s library, in a unique yet effective forecast.

We are currently offering this service on a subscription basis only and for personal use only.
Please understand also that we are monitoring how and who is accessing the system.

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The price list effective on June 2010 is:
1 Month $155.
3 Months $345 (or $115 per month).
6 Months $600 (or $100 per month).
1 Year $1020 (or $85 per month).

The renewal prices for those customers who already bought at least 1 month are:
3 Months $300 (or $100 per month).
6 Months $510 (or $85 per month).
1 Year $840 (or $70 per month).
Please note that the renewal prices are valid only if your order is placed at or before the expiry of the previous one.

Disclaimer.
This system is a learning experiment. The material provided here and the information contained in this web site is for informational/study purposes only.
There can be absolutely no guarantee that it works or that it will continue to work in the future. There is also no guarantee that the system will be always up and running or that we will be able to maintain it in operation in the future.
The services published in this web site may not be suitable for you. If you have any doubts, you should contact an independent financial advisor.
Trading stocks, futures, options or other financial instruments is risky and past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Please consult your financial advisor before subscribing or using the information published in this web site.
IPredict is not a registered financial advisor and makes no recommendation or endorsement as to any investment, portfolio, fund, stock, future or option.
The information contained on this web site is not, and is not intended to be an offer of, or an invitation to purchase or subscribe for, financial products. IPredict, its content providers, employees and officers (called the Company) SHALL NOT BE LIABLE for any incidental, indirect, consequential or special damages, including loss of revenue or income, pain and suffering, emotional distress that result from the use of, or the inability to use, the materials in this site, or similar damages even if the Company has been advised of the possibility of such damages.